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Showing posts with label The Federal Reserve. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Federal Reserve. Show all posts
Thursday, October 11, 2012
Sunday, June 19, 2011
Sunday, June 5, 2011
Quote of the Day: Griffin on Inflation by the Fed
Activist Post
"The American people have no idea they are paying the bill. They know that someone is stealing their hubcaps, but they think it is the greedy businessman who raises prices or the selfish laborer who demands higher wages or the unworthy farmer who demands too much for his crop or the wealthy foreigner who bids up our prices. They do not realize that these groups also are victimized by a monetary system which is constantly being eroded in value by and through the Federal Reserve System." -- G. Edward Griffin, The Creature From Jekyll Island
Find more of G. Edward Griffin's work at the RealityZone.com or a Freedom-Force.org.
Friday, May 20, 2011
Saturday, April 23, 2011
Saturday, April 16, 2011
Thursday, April 7, 2011
Monday, March 21, 2011
Sunday, March 20, 2011
Thursday, February 3, 2011
Friday, November 5, 2010
PIIGS Return to the Slaughter
Chris Gaffney
Daily Reckoning
St. Louis, Missouri – Friday is finally here… The end of what has been an exhausting week here on the trade desk. The dollar continued to get beat down through most of the trading day but started to rally back a bit in the afternoon. Overnight the dollar actually gained with the highflying Nordic currencies falling almost 1% versus the greenback. The euro (EUR) and commodity-based currencies also sold off a bit, and the sharp rally in both gold and silver stalled. A break in all of the price action was to be expected, but it may not last long as we will get the October US jobs report later this morning.
The report due out at 7:30 CST is expected to show the unemployment rate stayed dangerously close to 10% during last month. If the jobless rate comes in at 9.6% as expected, it would be a record 15 straight months that the rate stayed above 9.5%. The FOMC has tied future QE bond purchases to the performance of the US economy, so a poor payroll number will probably lead to another dollar sell-off. On the other hand, if the employment numbers come in stronger than expected, we could see some traders shift to thinking the Fed won’t have to continue the stimulus for as long as they have announced. But this is wishful thinking, as we all know the Fed is like a 17 year-old teenager whose parents just gave them $100 to go to the mall; the $600 billion is all but spent already, and there will probably be more to follow!!
Read Full Article
RELATED ARTICLE:
Powerful EU Nations May Reform “Mission Impossible” Treaty in Secret
Will the Dollar Rebound Before Being Dissolved Into Global Currency?
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Daily Reckoning
St. Louis, Missouri – Friday is finally here… The end of what has been an exhausting week here on the trade desk. The dollar continued to get beat down through most of the trading day but started to rally back a bit in the afternoon. Overnight the dollar actually gained with the highflying Nordic currencies falling almost 1% versus the greenback. The euro (EUR) and commodity-based currencies also sold off a bit, and the sharp rally in both gold and silver stalled. A break in all of the price action was to be expected, but it may not last long as we will get the October US jobs report later this morning.
The report due out at 7:30 CST is expected to show the unemployment rate stayed dangerously close to 10% during last month. If the jobless rate comes in at 9.6% as expected, it would be a record 15 straight months that the rate stayed above 9.5%. The FOMC has tied future QE bond purchases to the performance of the US economy, so a poor payroll number will probably lead to another dollar sell-off. On the other hand, if the employment numbers come in stronger than expected, we could see some traders shift to thinking the Fed won’t have to continue the stimulus for as long as they have announced. But this is wishful thinking, as we all know the Fed is like a 17 year-old teenager whose parents just gave them $100 to go to the mall; the $600 billion is all but spent already, and there will probably be more to follow!!
Read Full Article
RELATED ARTICLE:
Powerful EU Nations May Reform “Mission Impossible” Treaty in Secret
Will the Dollar Rebound Before Being Dissolved Into Global Currency?
Fresh food that lasts from eFoods Direct (Ad)
Live Superfoods
Print this page
Volcker calls Fed plan an "illusion", won't boost economy
Kelly Olsen
Associated Press
SEOUL, South Korea — Former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker says the U.S. central bank's plan to buy hundreds of billions of dollars in government bonds probably won't do much to boost the economic recovery.
The Fed announced Wednesday that it would purchase $600 billion in Treasurys, aiming to lower long-term interest rates in an effort to spur spending and ultimately lower the U.S. unemployment rate, currently at 9.6 percent. The move comes on the heels of previous purchases of $1.7 trillion in mortgage and Treasury bonds.
Volcker told a business audience in Seoul that the Fed's bond plan is obviously an attempt to spur the U.S. economy but "is not the kind of action that's likely to change the general picture that I've described as slow and labored recovery over a period of time."
The Fed's move has caused worries in South Korea and other emerging markets in Asia. Those governments fear that lower interest rates in the U.S. will further push investors to seek higher returns overseas and that this tide of money will drive up their currencies and destabilize their markets.
Volcker served as Fed chief from 1979 until 1987 under presidents Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan and is currently chairman of President Barack Obama's Economic Recovery Advisory Board. He also warned that the U.S. won't find its way out of the economic doldrums through over-stimulation.
"The thought that you can create a prosperous economy by inflating is an illusion, in my judgment," he told reporters after his speech. "And we should never forget that. I thought we'd learned that lesson and I hope we continue to learn that lesson."
The Fed faces a dilemma in balancing the aim of boosting the economy now while avoiding fears of a future jump in inflation due to the monetary stimulus, said Volcker, who as central bank chairman hiked interest rates aggressively to tame inflation.
"The influence of this kind of action on longer term interest rates, in particular, is ambiguous because the immediate impact of buying bonds ought to be to drive bond prices up and interest rates down," he said. "But if people get concerned about longer run inflationary impacts, the effects go in the other direction."
In theory, the Fed's action is expected to lower interest rates because bond prices and interest rates – also known as yields – move in opposite directions. The yield is the fixed amount of annual interest paid to the owner of the bond expressed as a percentage of the bond price, so the extra demand created by the Fed's purchases should push bond prices up and lower the yield.
But when investors fear inflation will be higher in the future they demand that bonds pay a higher interest rate to protect their investment from the value-eroding effects of inflation.
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It is time to Wake Up! You too, can join the "Global Political Awakening"!
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Associated Press
SEOUL, South Korea — Former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker says the U.S. central bank's plan to buy hundreds of billions of dollars in government bonds probably won't do much to boost the economic recovery.
The Fed announced Wednesday that it would purchase $600 billion in Treasurys, aiming to lower long-term interest rates in an effort to spur spending and ultimately lower the U.S. unemployment rate, currently at 9.6 percent. The move comes on the heels of previous purchases of $1.7 trillion in mortgage and Treasury bonds.
Volcker told a business audience in Seoul that the Fed's bond plan is obviously an attempt to spur the U.S. economy but "is not the kind of action that's likely to change the general picture that I've described as slow and labored recovery over a period of time."
The Fed's move has caused worries in South Korea and other emerging markets in Asia. Those governments fear that lower interest rates in the U.S. will further push investors to seek higher returns overseas and that this tide of money will drive up their currencies and destabilize their markets.
Volcker served as Fed chief from 1979 until 1987 under presidents Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan and is currently chairman of President Barack Obama's Economic Recovery Advisory Board. He also warned that the U.S. won't find its way out of the economic doldrums through over-stimulation.
"The thought that you can create a prosperous economy by inflating is an illusion, in my judgment," he told reporters after his speech. "And we should never forget that. I thought we'd learned that lesson and I hope we continue to learn that lesson."
The Fed faces a dilemma in balancing the aim of boosting the economy now while avoiding fears of a future jump in inflation due to the monetary stimulus, said Volcker, who as central bank chairman hiked interest rates aggressively to tame inflation.
"The influence of this kind of action on longer term interest rates, in particular, is ambiguous because the immediate impact of buying bonds ought to be to drive bond prices up and interest rates down," he said. "But if people get concerned about longer run inflationary impacts, the effects go in the other direction."
In theory, the Fed's action is expected to lower interest rates because bond prices and interest rates – also known as yields – move in opposite directions. The yield is the fixed amount of annual interest paid to the owner of the bond expressed as a percentage of the bond price, so the extra demand created by the Fed's purchases should push bond prices up and lower the yield.
But when investors fear inflation will be higher in the future they demand that bonds pay a higher interest rate to protect their investment from the value-eroding effects of inflation.
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Thursday, November 4, 2010
The Fed's 'pact with the devil' now the only stimulus game in town
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| Dees Illustration |
Associated Press
WASHINGTON — Any more stimulus spending by President Barack Obama and Congress is dead, after this week's election blowout by the Republicans. Yet, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's "Hail Mary" pass to pump $600 billion into the banking system is really stimulus spending under another name.
The Fed won't be spending taxpayer money or borrowing from China. It will be doing the electronic equivalent of creating dollars out of thin air. The central bank will then use the new money to buy longer-term government bonds. The Fed's plan will initially increase the supply of dollars held by banks, hopefully spurring more lending.
If all goes according to Bernanke's script, the bond purchases – $75 billion a month for eight months – should force down yields, taking with them interest rates for homeowners, consumers and businesses. It should also help make U.S. goods more competitive overseas and keep alive a stock market rally that began in August.
All of that should boost economic growth, help the ailing housing market and encourage more hiring.
It may not work. And there are risks.
Printing so much new money could lead to runaway inflation down the road. Lower interest rates could also produce speculative bubbles in the price of oil and other commodities and in risky high-yield investments. It could also take pressure off the White House and Congress to confront the long-term deficit crisis.
Thomas Hoenig, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, calls it "a pact with the devil." He was the only dissenter in the Fed policy committee's 10-1 vote for the Fed effort, also known as quantitative easing.
The bold move – carefully choreographed since last summer – came as the central bank was starting to run out of arrows in its quiver. Its main weapon for revving up or slowing down the economy is adjusting short-term interest rates. But, given the magnitude of the downturn, the Fed has held those rates at near zero since December 2008.
Fed leaders figure the $600 billion bond-buying program will provide a modest boost to the economy over the next year, but they acknowledge that the jobless rate, now at 9.6 percent with nearly 15 million unemployed, will stay high. And it could even rise in the next few months.
It is the Fed's second experiment with buying bonds on the open market. From December 2008 to this past March, it bought $1.7 million in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities. But since then, the recovery has faltered.
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