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Showing posts with label housing crisis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label housing crisis. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Dreaded Double-Dip Is Here



Dees Illustration
Greg Hunter
USA Watchdog

I have been telling you the economy is not in any kind of real recovery for more than a year.  Sources I have been quoting have been proven right, and all the economic cheerleaders dead wrong.  Reuters reported yesterday, “Data showing a double-dip in home prices, pessimistic consumers and a slowdown in regional manufacturing raised concerns on Tuesday that the economy’s soft patch could become protracted.” (Click here to read the complete Reuters report.) “Could become protracted?” It is protracted, and now the data is suggesting the economy is getting ready for another cliff dive.

Let’s concentrate on what has been a huge driver of the economy—housing.  A double-dip in housing could start a daisy chain of very bad news for the big banks exposed to derivatives and residential real estate.  According to the latest S&P/Case-Shiller home price report released yesterday, prices hit a new low in the first quarter–plunging 4.2% in just three months!  If you look back six months, prices are off nearly 8% according to Case/Shiller.  If you look on the chart on the first page of the Case/Shiller press release (click here), it clearly shows a double dip in housing.  That is exactly what was predicted nearly a year ago on this site.  One of the many people I quoted was renowned banking analyst Meredith Whitney who said last June, “Unequivocally, I see a double-dip in housing.  There’s no doubt about it . . . prices are going down again.” (Click here to read my original post from a year ago.) At the time, many people thought Ms. Whitney was being overly pessimistic.  In fact, her dire prediction has come true.  This is despite the more than $2 trillion spent in QE1 and QE2 (printing money out of thin air to buy government and private debt) by the Federal Reserve.  QE1 &QE2 helped fuel the stock market and artificially held mortgage interest rates at absurdly low levels and, yet, housing continues to crash.  Good call Ms. Whitney!

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Monday, April 4, 2011

Senate report to reveal mortgage crisis details: WSJ

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The Journal said the Senate investigation's findings
would likely expose bad blood between
Goldman and Morgan Stanley
© AFP/Getty Images/File Chris Hondros
AFP

WASHINGTON (AFP) - The Senate will soon issue findings of a probe of the US mortgage meltdown that fueled the global financial crisis, with Goldman Sachs likely to face fresh embarrassment over its role, the Wall Street Journal reported Sunday.

The Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, whose high-profile inquiry commission subpoenaed Goldman's and other executives last year, is due to release its report on the subprime implosion of 2007 and 2008.

The paper, citing people familiar with the matter, said the report was expected to release emails from securities firms that developed or sold subprime mortgages and financial vehicles including collaterized debt obligations (CDO).

CDOs were used to help Wall Street firms bet against the housing market. When the housing bubble burst, several of the top CDOs were downgraded to "junk" status, and their values plunged.

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Housing market: 13% of all U.S. homes are vacant

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Dees Illustration
Les Christie
CNN Money

High residential vacancies are killing many housing markets, as foreclosed homes sit on the market and depress sale prices and property values.

And it's only getting worse: The national vacancy rate crept up to just over 13% according to last week's decennial census report. That's up from 12.1% in 2007.

"More vacant homes equal more downward pressure on home prices," said Brad Hunter, chief economist for Metrostudy, a real estate information provider.

Maine had the highest proportion of empty housing stock, at 22.8%. Other states with gluts of empty houses included Vermont (20.5%), Florida (17.5%), Arizona (16.3%) and Alaska (15.9%).

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Tuesday, March 22, 2011

Nearly 20% of Florida homes are vacant



Dees Illustration
CNN

It's not always easy to feel sorry for sunny Florida. But it just got hit with another blow.

On Thursday, the Census Bureau revealed that 18% -- or 1.6 million -- of the Sunshine State's homes are sitting vacant. That's a rise of more than 63% over the past 10 years.

Having this amount of oversupply on the market will keep home prices depressed and slow any recovery.

During the housing boom, Florida was among the hottest real estate markets in the nation. Homes were snapped up by the state's growing population as well as hordes of investors confident that prices would continue to soar.

"You'd drive through downtown Miami and see 30 or 40 cranes sticking up in the air," said Michael Larson, a housing market analyst for Weiss Research.

The bust brought an end to that. Development ground to a halt. Retirees stopped relocating. And prices started falling and vacancies rising.

"Housing went from being the preeminent investment of choice to toxic waste," added Richard DeKaser, an economist with the Parthenon Group.



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Wednesday, March 16, 2011

US housing construction plunges



New home constructionsplunged in February
© AFP/Getty Images/File Justin Sullivan
AFP

WASHINGTON (AFP) - Construction of new homes in the United States plunged in February to near record lows and building permits hit bottom, official data showed Wednesday in a dismal report on the ailing housing market.

Housing starts fell to an annual rate of 479,000, down 22.5 percent from January, the Commerce Department said.

That number was the lowest since April 2009, when the economy was still mired in the worst recession since the 1930s Great Depression.

In April 2009, housing starts were a rate of 477,000, the weakest pace since tracking of the data began in 1959. Economists at the time had estimated that it was the slowest pace in new housing construction since the 1940s.

Housing activity was not expected to pick up any time soon, according to the new data.

Building permits sank to a record annual rate of 517,000 in February, a decline of 8.2 percent from the January level, the department said.

That was the smallest number of permits in records dating back to 1960.

© AFP -- Published at Activist Post with license
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Saturday, December 4, 2010

Fed wants to strip a key protection for homeowners

Dees Illustration
Tony Pugh
McClatchy

WASHINGTON — As Americans continue to lose their homes in record numbers, the Federal Reserve is considering making it much harder for homeowners to stop foreclosures and escape predatory home loans with onerous terms.

The Fed's proposal to amend a 42-year-old provision of the federal Truth in Lending Act has angered labor, civil rights and consumer advocacy groups along with a slew of foreclosure defense attorneys.

They're not only asking the Fed to withdraw the proposal, they also want any future changes to the law to be handled by the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which begins its work next year.

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Monday, October 18, 2010

Demand to see your mortgage note

Activist Post

In our most recent weekly newsletter, our Action Item was Fraudclosure.  The magnitude of the banking fraud that has taken place, and the thuggish tactics employed to literally steal homes from the American people, is just now being revealed.  It is hard to overstate just how horrendous the abuse has been, dwarfing a previous catalogue of criminality by our banking institutions.  Everyone is affected by this.  Even if you have paid every last cent in your own personal situation, you still wind up paying through tax increases and dollar devaluation that results from the fallout of this looting.

Where's the note?  Did the big banks lose your mortgage?  You can find out by visiting a new website.  The site offers help to compose letters to all major banking institutions.  It's one step that everyone can take to keep the pressure on the banking system to come clean.


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Sunday, October 17, 2010

How Countrywide Covered the Tracks

Angelo R. Mozilo CEO - Countrywide Financial
Gretchen Morgenson
NY Times

ON June 27, 2006, Countrywide Financial, the nation’s largest mortgage lender, was about to close its books on a record-breaking six-month run. The housing market was on fire and Countrywide’s earnings were soaring. Despite all the euphoria inside the company, some executives noticed that Angelo R. Mozilo, the company’s brash and imperious chief executive, seemed subdued.

At a town hall meeting that day with 110 of the company’s highest-ranking executives in Calabasas, Calif., Mr. Mozilo sat alone on a stage, fielding questions and offering rosy predictions about his company’s prospects. But then he struck a sober note in response to a question from one of his colleagues.

The questioner wanted to know what, if anything, worried Mr. Mozilo, according to a participant.

“I wake up every day frightened that something is going to happen to Countrywide,” Mr. Mozilo said.

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The Mortgage Morass: Obama Opposes Any Action That May Upset the Banks

Paul Krugman
NY Times

American officials used to lecture other countries about their economic failings and tell them that they needed to emulate the U.S. model. The Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s, in particular, led to a lot of self-satisfied moralizing. Thus, in 2000, Lawrence Summers, then the Treasury secretary, declared that the keys to avoiding financial crisis were “well-capitalized and supervised banks, effective corporate governance and bankruptcy codes, and credible means of contract enforcement.” By implication, these were things the Asians lacked but we had.

We didn’t.

The accounting scandals at Enron and WorldCom dispelled the myth of effective corporate governance. These days, the idea that our banks were well capitalized and supervised sounds like a sick joke. And now the mortgage mess is making nonsense of claims that we have effective contract enforcement — in fact, the question is whether our economy is governed by any kind of rule of law.

The story so far: An epic housing bust and sustained high unemployment have led to an epidemic of default, with millions of homeowners falling behind on mortgage payments. So servicers — the companies that collect payments on behalf of mortgage owners — have been foreclosing on many mortgages, seizing many homes.

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STOP FORECLOSURES in TX, CA, and FLA.

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Thursday, October 14, 2010

Foreclosure Fraud: 6 Things You Need To Know About The Crisis That Could Potentially Rip The U.S. Economy To Shreds

foreclosure blues
The Economic Collapse

The foreclosure fraud crisis seems to escalate with each passing now.  It is being reported that all 50 U.S. stateshave launched a joint investigationinto alleged fraud in the mortgage industry.  This is a huge story that is not going to go away any time soon.  The truth is that it would be hard to understate the amount of fraud that has gone on in the U.S. mortgage industry, and we are watching events unfold that could potentially rip the U.S. economy to shreds.  Many are now referring to this crisis as "Foreclosure-Gate", and already it is shaping up to be the worst thing that has ever happened to the U.S. mortgage industry.  At this point, it seems inevitable that some financial institutions will go under as a result of this mess.  In fact, by the end of this thing we might see a whole bunch of lending institutions crash and burn.  This crisis is very hard to describe because it is just so darn complicated, but it is worth it to try to dig into this thing and understand what is going on because it has the potential to absolutely decimate the entire U.S. mortgage industry.


The truth is that there was fraud going on in every segment of the mortgage industry over the past decade.  Predatory lending institutions were aggressively signing consumers up for mortgages that they knew they could never repay.  Many consumers were also committing fraud because a lot of them also knew that they could never possibly repay the mortgages.  These bad mortgages were fraudulently bundled up and securitized, and these securitized financial instruments were fraudulently marketed as solid investments.  Those who certified that these junk securities were "AAA rated" also committed fraud.  Then these securities were traded at lightning speed all over the globe and a ton of mortgage paperwork became "lost" or "missing".

Then, when it came time to foreclose on these bad mortgages, a whole bunch more fraud started being committed.  The reality is that the "robo-signing" scandal is just the time of the iceberg.  The following are six things that you should know about how deep this foreclosure fraud crisis really goes....  

#1 According to the Associated Press, financial institutions were hiring just about whoever they could find, including hair stylists and Wal-Mart employees, as "foreclosure experts" to help them rush through the massive backlog of foreclosures that were rapidly piling up.
Apparently many of these "foreclosure experts" barely even knew what a "mortgage" was according to the AP....
In depositions released Tuesday, many of those workers testified that they barely knew what a mortgage was. Some couldn't define the word "affidavit." Others didn't know what a complaint was, or even what was meant by personal property. Most troubling, several said they knew they were lying when they signed the foreclosure affidavits and that they agreed with the defense lawyers' accusations about document fraud.

#2 There is soon going to be a colossal legal scramble to figure out who actually owns millions of U.S. mortgages.
In his recent article entitled "Invasion Of The Robot Home Snatchers", Robert Scheer described the complete and total mess that the U.S. mortgage industry has created....
How do you foreclose on a home when you can't figure out who owns it because the original mortgage is part of a derivatives package that has been sliced and diced so many ways that its legal ownership is often unrecognizable? You cannot get much help from those who signed off on the process because they turn out to be robot signers acting on automatic pilot. Fully 65 million homes in question are tied to a computerized program, the national Mortgage Electronic Registration Systems (MERS), that is often identified in foreclosure proceedings as the owner of record.
Meanwhile, more organizations are stepping forward to help homeowners fight foreclosures.  National People's Action, PICO National Network, Industrial Areas Foundation, Alliance of Californians for Community Empowerment and the Northwest Federation of Community Organizations have all partnered with the SEIU to launch the "Where's The Note" campaign which is going to encourage homeowners to demand to see the note before submitting to a foreclosure.  Campaigns such as this are going to make foreclosures much more costly for banks.

#3 Legal battles over foreclosure documents could soon spawn thousands upon thousands of lawsuits across the United States.
Adam Levitin, a Georgetown University Law professor who specializes in mortgage finance and financial regulatory issues was recently quoted in an article on CNBC as saying the following about the situation we are currently in....
The mortgage is still owed, but there's going to be a problem figuring out who actually holds the mortgage, and they would be the ones bringing the foreclosure. You have a trust that has been getting payments from borrowers for years that it has no right to receive. So you might see borrowers suing the trusts saying give me my money back, you're stealing my money. You're going to then have trusts that don't have any assets that have been issuing securities that say they're backed by a whole bunch of assets, and you're going to have investors suing the trustees for failing to inspect the collateral files, which the trustees say they're going to do, and you're going to have trustees suing the securitization sponsors for violating their representations and warrantees about what they were transferring.

#4 The problems with foreclosure paperwork may be more widespread than anyone would have dared to imagine.
Attorney Richard Kessler recently conducted a study in which he found "serious errors" in approximately 75 percent of the court filings related to home repossessions that he examined.  Now he says that the foreclosure crisis could haunt the U.S. mortgage industry for the next ten years....
"Defective documentation has created millions of blighted titles that will plague the nation for the next decade."

#5 If some banks discover that they are missing the paperwork for large numbers of mortgages (as is currently being alleged), those banks could be forced to significantly revalue those assets (as in "close to zero") on their balance sheets.
John Carney of CNBC recently described it this way....
The most damaging thing that could happen to banks would be the discovery that they simply cannot prove they hold a mortgage on a house. In that case, the loan would probably have to be written down to near zero. Even for current loans, the regulatory reserve requirements would double as the loan would no longer be a functional mortgage but an ordinary consumer loan. Depending on the size of the “no docs” portion of the loan portfolio, this might be a minor blip or require a bank to raise new capital to fill the hole in the balance sheet.

#6 Renowned investor Jim Sinclair is actually warning that the collapse of securitized mortgage debt could be the "final shot" that will wipe out many financial institutions across the United States.
The recent warning that Sinclair posted on his blog is more than a little sobering....
I am asking for your attention again because of the depth of the fraud and now the size of the securitized mortgage debt OTC derivative pile of garbage that is in the trillions. This entire mountain of weapons of mass financial and social destruction is now in question. I have been telling you this for more than 2 years since the manufacturers and distributors of this crap were called by the NY Fed due to the loss of control over the paperwork.
I had dinner with my former partner, then lead director of and CEO of Bear Stearns. I could not contain myself so I asked him why he did so much business in OTC derivatives which were certain to bankrupt them. The answer I got was it was more than 50% of their profit. The right answer should have been it was more than 80% of their earnings.
Securitized mortgage debt is going to be the final shot that kills all kinds of financial entities in the Western world. The biggest holder of this putrid junk is pension funds.
Meanwhile, the stock market continues to go up, up, up as if everything is right in the world and as if a juicy new bull market is now upon us.
Well, let's all join hands and sing happy songs around the campfire.
Perhaps if we all close our eyes and wish real hard all of this foreclosure fraud will just go away.
Then again, maybe not.

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