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Showing posts with label buy gold. Show all posts
Showing posts with label buy gold. Show all posts

Friday, March 18, 2011

The World’s Best Gold Experts: “Buy and Hold!”



Jeff Clark
BIG GOLD

In January, Jeff Clark of Casey Research’s BIG GOLD advisory set out to get opinions from some of the smartest, most accomplished investors in the gold industry – where is the gold price going to go, how volatile will the markets be, what’s the outlook for precious metals stocks? Read on for some of the most insightful answers you’ll see anywhere…

Rick Rule is the founder of Global Resource Investments (www.gril.net), now part of Sprott, one of the most acclaimed and sought-after brokers in the natural resource industry. Rick has spent 30 years in the sector and is a regular speaker at investment conferences in the U.S. and Canada. He and his staff have an extraordinary record of success in resource stock investing.

James Turk is the founder and chairman of GoldMoney.com. He’s authored two books on economic topics, published numerous articles on money and banking, and is co-author of The Collapse of the Dollar. He’s a widely recognized expert on precious metals.

John Hathaway is portfolio manager of the Tocqueville Gold Fund, the third best-performing gold mutual fund in 2010. He is a Harvard grad with 41 years of investment management experience.

Charles Oliver is senior portfolio manager of the Sprott Gold and Precious Minerals Fund (and several others). Charles led the team at AGF Management that was awarded the Canadian Investment Awards’ “Best Precious Metals Fund” in 2004, 2006, and 2007.

Adrian Ash runs the research desk at BullionVault, one of the world's largest online gold ownership services. A frequent guest on BBC News in London, his views on the gold market are regularly featured in the Financial TimesThe Economist, and many others.

Ian McAvity has been writing the Deliberations on World Markets newsletter since 1972. He was a founder of the Central Fund of Canada (CEF), Central Gold Trust (GTU), and Silver Bullion Trust (SBT.U).

Ross Norman is co-founder of TheBullionDesk.com, an online provider of precious metals news, analysis, and prices. Ross has won several awards from the London Bullion Market Association for his price forecasting, winning in 2002 and 2006.He now runs Sharps Pixley (www.sharpspixley.com), which sells bullion in the UK and continental Europe.

Monday, March 14, 2011

The Rule of Gold After The Financial Collapse

SARTRE, Contributing Writer
Activist Post

In a secular world, the operative "Golden Rule" is "He Who Has the Gold Makes the Rules". The condition of the global financial banking system is untenable. The aggregate amount of debt worldwide is anyone’s guess. The introduction of derivatives and counter claims pushes the chain of obligations into the unknown. All that is left is for central banks to create mountains of uninterrupted counterfeit money to roll over and delay the inevitable. The IMF chart of World Currency Reserve is a skyrocket line to oblivion. It does not reflect a healthy stockpile of treasure, but certainly manifests a new debt machine running to infinity. The Bullion Vault explains this reality in the following manner.
"Sure, the Fed can create money. But it can't create credit (from the Latin credere, "to trust, have faith"). And it sure as hell can't let America's outstanding debts – both private and public – simply get written off now, neither at home nor abroad. Not after all that crashing and banging in ER from 2007-09.
So never mind the record-large cash pile sitting at non-financial corporates. Never mind that their problem is too much debt, not the $1.8 trillion in cash they've already got. Never mind the 50-fold growth since 2007 to $1 trillion in US banks' cash holdings either. Again, debt is their problem – not a lack of money – but it doesn't matter. New money is the only fix Dr. Ben now has to hand (he's all out of interest-rate cuts). So those foreign reserves, US corporates and domestic banks already drowning in money will get flooded with more".


Back in 1966 Alan Greenspan wrote inThe Objectivist, Gold and Economic Freedom.
"Under a gold standard, the amount of credit that an economy can support is determined by the economy's tangible assets, since every credit instrument is ultimately a claim on some tangible asset. But government bonds are not backed by tangible wealth, only by the government's promise to pay out of future tax revenues, and cannot easily be absorbed by the financial markets".
Since the gold standard was abandoned worldwide, the banksters have run wild. 


So who owns all the gold? Part of the answer is that the official sector holds much less, than one might think.

holders.jpg

Wealth Daily concurs with the Dollar Daze list of largest holders of bullion - United States, Germany, International Monetary Fund, Italy, France, SPDR Gold Shares, China, Switzerland, Japan and Netherland, rank as the top ten. 
"Central banks and multinational organizations (such as the International Monetary Fund) currently hold just under one-fifth of global above-ground stocks of gold as reserve assets (amounting to around 30,500 tonnes, dispersed across 110 organisations). On average, governments hold around 10% of their official reserves as gold, although the proportion varies country-by-country".
So how much gold is there above ground?
Total 165,600 metric tons above ground stock
1 metric tonne = 32,150.746 Troy ounces
Total 5,324,163,537 Troy ounces
Price Quote at $1,424.00 per ounce
Total value in U.S. Dollars = 7 Trillion, 581 Billion, 608 Million, 876 Thousand and 688 Hundred Dollars of all gold worldwide.




Since the US Mint reports that Fort Knox stores 147.3 million troy ounces, current redemption in U.S. Federal reserve notes would be approximately $366,261,298,432. That is a drop in the bucket against the outstanding Federal obligations, which exceed world GDP. Then there is the question of exactly how much gold remains in government hands or if the bullion is actually good delivery gold. View the video there is no Gold at Fort Knox for an alarming report. Have you ever wondered why the Federal Reserve and their co-conspirer central banks for decades waged a war against gold?The Paper Empire sums up quite nicely.
"The Federal Reserve is arguably the most powerful institution in the world as it maintains the sole legal right to counterfeit the world’s reserve currency without limit and without oversight. This allows them to bail out the too big to fail banks, manipulate currencies, support foreign central banks and corporations and allow near endless government spending above and beyond what the government can pay for through direct taxation. A true, enforceable gold standard would put an immediate end to all of that".
Now examine the seamy history of IMF gold sales. The next video, The IMF sold Gold plated tungsten bars to India, illustrates why the international banking system needs to be eliminated. TheGold-plated tungsten bars scandal is about to erupt. Imagine the chaos among banking circles when governments become aware of a bait and switch delivery fraud.

If all the gold in the world has a current value of less than eight trillion dollars, how much could be bought by the Forbes 2011 Billionaires List, which breaks two records: total number of listees (1,210) and combined wealth ($4.5 trillion). How much do they already own? 

What is never disclosed in official statistics of wealth ownership are the names of the true underworld bosses of the global controllers. The shadow manipulators conceal the extent of their money hordes. Most public lists painstakingly omit the master criminals. Their plan is to buy real assets with counterfeit notes obtained through illicit profits from rigged markets and phony financial derivative instruments.  

When the banking system finally collapses with mathematical certitude from the burden of compound interest, these same crooks will be prepared to provide a specious substitute. The schemes described in IMF Plotting Gold-Backed SDRs?, make the following point.



"The IMF is about as likely to help individual European countries subvert the euro via gold as it is to encourage debtor countries not to honor banking their debts. The IMF is a creature of the power elite, and it will always remain so, in our opinion. But none of this militates against the idea of the IMF backing its OWN currency (SDRs) with gold".

Since 1999, the bulk of sales from central banks have been regulated by the Central Bank Gold Agreement/CBGAswhich have stabilised sales from 15 of the world's biggest holders of gold.
Significantly, gold sales from official sector sources have been diminishing in recent years. Net central bank sales amounted to just 41 tonnes in 2009.
Above-ground_stocks_sm.gif

A most revealing fact is that central banks and governments do not possess the bulk of gold supplies. The World Gold Council publishes an astounding pie chart, 83% of above ground stocks are in the hands of industry, investment and jewelry concerns. This overwhelming percentage points to an alternative to the fiat paper debt created banking tyranny.   


Only individual ownership of gold, directly in your own possession can preserve any store of value when the next Draconian level of the Totalitarian Collectivism system is imposed after the financial meltdown hits in earnest.


How much gold is enough?, offers up this solution. 


"When individuals acquire gold in mass, politicians will be forced to address the public debt, and the true extent of the unconscionable confiscatory taxation condition that we all suffer. Limited government can be achieved, but must be based upon a currency that has gold convertibility. There lies the answer, keep enough gold to insist that real money will replace phony Fed notes. Nothing less will restore a store of value or a nation of free citizens".
Remember that tyrannical regimes are always arbitrary. Executive Order 6102 was signed on April 5, 1933, by U.S. President Franklin D. Roosevelt "forbidding the Hoarding of Gold Coin, Gold Bullion, and Gold Certificates" by U.S. citizens. This kind of blatant violation of the U.S. Constitution is routine. Citizen ownership of gold could very well become illegal again. 
However, if it is, you will already know you are a pawn in a fascist state.  


The risk banning gold ownership and government confiscation is always real for individuals. However, the prospects of rounding up gold bullion as contraband from banking institutions or the chosen and privileged financial elite, would require a coup d'état. The establishment will sacrifice hundreds of millions of expendable serfs, before it relinquishes the reins of superiority over the humble taxpayer.


An underground barter economy will thrive, while it is condemned as a black market. Any attempt to substitute new money with a gold component, must allow for unlimited convertibility for it to be a legitimate monetary system. As long as the same globalists retain political rule, you can bank on the scheme proposed to be another sophisticated attempt to rob and enslave you, all over again.


Douglas Herman offers up four possible scenarios, the best of which requires an old currency recall, and replacement with new species money. The other theories feed into the control matrix of the globalists to implement even greater despotic methods of servitude. Intentional civil unrest provides opportunistic excuses to herd the cattle into the pens of slaughter. Just owning private gold will not protect citizens adequately, until the gold hordes of the elite are stripped from their control. 


The decisive test remains the same, who has the bullion makes the rules, with one caveat. If you are so foolish to accept the next new-fangled money hoax from the same banksters who brought you their planned global collapse, you deserve to be a slave. Business wealth creators need to lead the charge to abolish the phony debt created money monopoly. Financial Armageddon lays at the feet of humanity. Gold alone will not save you, but it will allow the means for rebuilding a society free of banksters’ tyranny, only, if you have the courage to remove their ilk from all seats of power and government.    


Original article archived here 


SARTRE is the pen name of James Hall, a reformed, former political operative. This pundit's formal instruction in History, Philosophy and Political Science served as training for activism, on the staff of several politicians and in many campaigns. A believer in authentic Public Service, independent business interests were pursued in the private sector. Speculation in markets, and international business investments, allowed for extensive travel and a world view for commerce.  SARTRE is the publisher of BREAKING ALL THE RULES. Contact batr@batr.org   


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Tuesday, March 8, 2011

The Driver for Gold You’re Not Watching



Dees Illustration
Jeff Clark
BIG GOLD

You already know the basic reasons for owning gold – currency protection, inflation hedge, store of value, calamity insurance – many of which are becoming clichés even in mainstream articles. Throw in the supply and demand imbalance, and you’ve got the basic arguments for why one should hold gold for the foreseeable future.

All of these factors remain very bullish, in spite of gold’s 450% rise over the past 10 years. No, it’s not too late to buy, especially if you don’t own a meaningful amount; and yes, I’m convinced the price is headed much higher, regardless of the corrections we’ll inevitably see. Each of the aforementioned catalysts will force gold’s price higher and higher in the years ahead, especially the currency issues.
But there’s another driver of the price that escapes many gold watchers and certainly the mainstream media. And I’m convinced that once this sleeping giant wakes, it could ignite the gold market like nothing we’ve ever seen.


The fund management industry handles the bulk of the world’s wealth. These institutions include insurance companies, hedge funds, mutual funds, sovereign wealth funds, etc. But the elephant in the room is pension funds. These are institutions that provide retirement income, both public and private.
Global pension assets are estimated to be – drum roll, please – $31.1 trillion. No, that is not a misprint. It is more than twice the size of last year’s GDP in the U.S. ($14.7 trillion).

We know a few hedge fund managers have invested in gold, like John Paulson, David Einhorn, Jean-Marie Eveillard. There are close to twenty mutual funds devoted to gold and precious metals. Lots of gold and silver bugs have been buying.
So, what about pension funds?

According to estimates by Shayne McGuire in his new book, Hard Money; Taking Gold to a Higher Investment Level, the typical pension fund holds about 0.15% of its assets in gold. He estimates another 0.15% is devoted to gold mining stocks, giving us a total of 0.30% – that is, less than one third of one percent of assets committed to the gold sector.

Shayne is head of global research at the Teacher Retirement System of Texas. He bases his estimate on the fact that commodities represent about 3% of the total assets in the average pension fund. And of that 3%, about 5% is devoted to gold. It is, by any account, a negligible portion of a fund’s asset allocation.

Now here’s the fun part. Let’s say fund managers as a group realize that bonds, equities, and real estate have become poor or risky investments and so decide to increase their allocation to the gold market. If they doubled their exposure to gold and gold stocks – which would still represent only 0.6% of their total assets – it would amount to $93.3 billion in new purchases.

How much is that? The assets of GLD total $55.2 billion, so this amount of money is 1.7 times bigger than the largest gold ETF. SLV, the largest silver ETF, has net assets of $9.3 billion, a mere one-tenth of that extra allocation.

The market cap of the entire sector of gold stocks (producers only) is about $234 billionThe gold industry would see a 40% increase in new money to the sector. Its market cap would double if pension institutions allocated just 1.2% of their assets to it.

But what if currency issues spiral out of control? What if bonds wither and die? What if real estate takes ten years to recover? What if inflation becomes a rabid dog like it has every other time in history when governments have diluted their currency to this degree? If these funds allocate just 5% of their assets to gold – which would amount to $1.5 trillion – it would overwhelm the system and rocket prices skyward.

And let’s not forget that this is only one class of institution. Insurance companies have about $18.7 trillion in assets. Hedge funds manage approximately $1.7 trillion. Sovereign wealth funds control $3.8 trillion. Then there are mutual funds, ETFs, private equity funds, and private wealth funds. Throw in millions of retail investors like you and me and Joe Sixpack and Jiao Sixpack, and we’re looking in the rear view mirror at $100 trillion.

I don’t know if pension funds will devote that much money to this sector or not. What I do know is that sovereign debt risks are far from over, the U.S. dollar and other currencies will lose considerably more value against gold, interest rates will most certainly rise in the years ahead, and inflation is just getting started. These forces are in place and building, and if there’s a paradigm shift in how these managers view gold, look out!

I thought of titling this piece, “Why $5,000 Gold May Be Too Low.” Because once fund managers enter the gold market in mass, this tiny sector will light on fire with blazing speed.

My advice is to not just hope you can jump in once these drivers hit the gas, but to claim your seat during the relative calm of this month's level prices.

Jeff Clark is the editor of BIG GOLD, Casey Research's monthly advisory on gold, silver, and large-cap precious metals stocks. If this is the kind of in-depth information you’d like to utilize for your investments, give BIG GOLD a risk-free try with 3-month money-back guarantee.




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Sunday, December 5, 2010

What's behind the 2010 gold rush?

Investors and central banks are buying up the yellow metal at unprecedented levels, but will its allure last as fears over the global economy ease?


Richard Blackden
Telegraph

In the 19th century, San Francisco's citizens couldn't read about the gold rush happening little more than 200 miles from their city.

Most who worked for the local newspaper had dashed to the fields in the foothills of the Sierra Nevada mountains, where James W Marshall had unearthed a nugget in a riverbed in January 1848.

Rapid waves of immigration followed by ship and across the Midwest, with about 80,000 people braving the threat of cholera to make the journey in wagons.

Less than a month after Marshall's find and a few hundred miles further south, a defeated Mexican government signed the Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo, ending a two-year war with its northern neighbour and ceding swathes of territory to the US.


"The discovery of gold was little short of a revolution and came as California became American," explains Malcolm Rohrbough, author of Days of Gold: The Californian Gold Rush and the American Nation. "People were celebrating."

The yellow metal had of course dazzled many civilizations before, and from the middle of the 19th century added America to that list.

It has bewitched the country ever since and never more so than in the three years since the financial crisis erupted.

And as gold closes in on a 10th straight year of gains, a debate is raging across the country on whether the longest rally since at least 1920 can last.

Read Full Article



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